Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1048.654682 1206.559221 1389.408546 1619.018915 1902.821578 2246.383651 2.700446e+03
2024-10-06 844.041655 1043.447768 1298.872711 1658.473688 2166.181933 2881.558890 4.014015e+03
2024-10-13 709.661364 913.697921 1190.769876 1608.829501 2251.375624 3254.979484 5.068361e+03
2024-10-20 621.126897 825.054097 1114.877384 1577.232710 2340.025178 3643.592830 6.306902e+03
2024-10-27 547.032002 743.855700 1033.429802 1515.866533 2358.329501 3910.207270 7.443529e+03
2024-11-03 515.569061 719.277772 1030.675795 1575.574888 2592.225187 4643.007355 1.000893e+04
2024-11-10 484.675561 690.967057 1016.781784 1611.856253 2790.140885 5377.801906 1.315829e+04
2024-11-17 457.454161 664.789584 1001.966844 1642.352670 2983.071067 6181.811905 1.729967e+04
2024-11-24 424.586019 625.911384 960.587158 1615.502611 3047.749038 6701.923695 2.109422e+04
2024-12-01 404.688239 606.203568 949.596425 1644.959614 3245.278983 7673.767590 2.818194e+04
2024-12-08 390.320245 594.206722 950.510886 1698.027659 3514.036530 9010.414794 3.991684e+04
2024-12-15 371.840944 573.359658 932.674233 1708.425850 3679.400051 10122.862722 5.360189e+04
2024-12-22 350.298955 546.757599 903.858128 1696.587263 3802.168944 11253.050304 7.296379e+04
2024-12-29 337.042284 533.959935 900.486555 1742.963222 4111.617015 13428.854821 1.184191e+05
2025-01-05 314.833935 502.918537 857.674201 1689.319955 4105.626881 14234.077378 1.547753e+05
2025-01-12 296.856599 478.287035 825.249773 1655.661909 4154.605599 15389.395081 2.164678e+05
2025-01-19 277.593764 449.887842 782.522407 1590.169137 4081.358888 15862.968315 2.744073e+05
2025-01-26 271.658295 446.133249 790.295850 1653.882678 4475.508718 19564.414230 6.149843e+05
2025-02-02 263.924028 438.284862 788.540904 1692.623733 4800.312505 23431.476459 1.534499e+06
2025-02-09 256.219847 429.885998 784.692459 1725.203427 5119.878031 27973.535858 5.296361e+06
2025-02-16 244.563880 412.890038 760.339200 1696.518459 5180.375085 30481.198408 1.629470e+07
2025-02-23 238.004683 405.617730 757.043283 1727.989104 5517.955067 36675.074860 9.280705e+08
2025-03-02 233.474065 402.098397 761.896852 1784.717739 6005.290899 46465.147015 NaN